Tags ‘Trading Forex’

Trading Forex Using Fibonacci



First a little history lesson to understand better what Fibonacci actually is. The inventor of Fibonacci is Leonardo of Pisa, an Italian mathematician in the thirteenth century, the son of Bonaccio which in Italian is “Filius Bonnacio” hence by contraction resulted Fibonacci.

Fibonacci represents a sequence of numbers where the first number is 0, the second number is 1, and each number after equals the sum of the previous two numbers: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 etc. The interesting part in this sequence is the mathematical relations between these numbers expressed as ratios. Try dividing any number in the sequence by the one after it and you will discover what it is known in trading as the “Golden ratio” which is 61.8%.

Example:

8 divided by 13 equals 0.61538
13 divided by 21 equals 0.61904
21 divided by 34 equals 0.61764

As the sequence progresses the value comes closer and closer to 0.618. If you try dividing any number by the number coming two places further to the right you will discover another ratio 38.2% (13 divided by 34 equals 0.38235). Another important Fibonacci ratio is 23.4%.

So what’s this got to do with Forex trading? For some strange reason these ratios play an important role in trading. If you study price movements you will discover that very often previously established trends are likely to continue after retracing to one of these levels. For example EUR/USD moves from 1.3820 to 1.4160 and than retraces to 1.3950 (which is 61.8% retracement of this move). At that point price is rejected and it continues its original uptrend.

Forex traders also like to use the 50% retracement but this has nothing to do with the Fibonacci ratios. Combine this knowledge with obvious support and resistance points in the market or pivot points and you can discover great entry points for your Forex trades.

Another important addition to your trading tools is the Fibonacci extensions which are used to predict an extension of a move after it retraces to a Fibonacci level. Studies demonstrated that retracements to the 38.2 level predict an extension of 1.618% to 200%,a 50 % retracement predicts an extension of the move to 1.382%-1.618% and lastly a retracement to 61.8 level predicts an extension ranging from 100% to 121.4%. Retracements that go beyond 61.8% are less likely to revert.

Again combine the Fibonacci extension theory with pivot points rejections and you can determine an optimum profit target for your Forex trades. More details about pivot points rejection in a future article.

By: Bill Rodney

Photo

admin

December 26th

Finance

FOREX Global Trading



If you’ve just stumbled upon FOREX global trading then let me say first and foremost,
Congratulations! FOREX global trading has been, since its inception in 1970, one of the most
lucrative self start business opportunites available. I am still baffled as to how this wealth
creating, trading system has not been spread to the masses. I suppose the answer to that
question resides with the same reason you found this article. Starting your own business
takes a certain kind of fortitude and dedication that most people just don’t have. It takes a
certain type of person to have the kind of ambition necessary for success. If you’ve
discovered FOREX global trading recently then it wouldn’t be so silly to assume you’ve tried
other ways to make money on your own. After all, trying to learn more about FOREX global
trading tells me off that bat that you want more out of life.

The fact that you’ve found this article tells me a number of things.

-You want to obtain more financial freedom without some get rich quick scheme.

-You want to have your own legitimate business that you won’t be a slave to.

-You want the ability to work anywhere at any time according to your own schedule.

-You’re an intelligent person who is not afraid to learn an analytical system.

-You’re willing to learn how to work most efficiently, knowing that it will pay off in the
long run.

-You’ve already got what it takes to make FOREX global trading work for you.

My last statement may seem like a bold one to make. The bottom line is, you’ve already taken
the first step to achieving your goals through FOREX global trading by taking the time to LEARN before you EARN.

So let’s get right into it. Let’s learn what FOREX global trading is and how to MASTER it.

1. What is FOREX global trading?

FOREX stands for Foreign Exchange Market. It is based on an international marketplace where
currencies are bought and sold. Only the participants in the FOREX market determine the price
of one currency against another. In other words, the prices of currencies are based upon
supply and demand. This is similar to the idea behind stock price determinations. The
difference? Well you could call it a difference, but I call it an advantage. Currency prices
can not be affected by large buyers in the FOREX marketplace. In the traditional stock
market, when stocks are bought up by institutional buyers, stock prices fluctuate. This is
not a factor in the FOREX global trading market place because it is the largest liquid
financial market available. Between 1 and 1.5 Trillion dollars are traded everyday in the
FOREX market. It’s impossible for an institutional buyer to make a splash. This is a huge
advantage for the “little guy” who doesn’t have a huge budget. If you take the time to learn
how to play the FOREX game, anyone can make a fortune. Success is based on following the
rules of the market and knowing the signs to look for.

2. How does FOREX global trading work?

Currency transactions do not take place on a centralized exchange like the NYSE. It’s a
global market and therefore trades take place all over the world through telecommunications.
You can trade on the FOREX global market 24 hours a day from Sunday afternoon untill friday
afternoon. For GMT time, this is translated to 12am on Monday to 10:00pm on Friday. The
process is a fairly simple one. You buy and sell currencies through dealers. The link I
provide at the bottom of the article will steer you in the right direction for finding a
qualified dealer. Think of a dealer as a broker. The dealers provide quotes for all major
currencies and you decide which currently is a sound investment at any given time. A big
advantage to working with dealers in FOREX global trading is the ability to obtain a line of
credit off of a very small initial rate. You can get a line of credit off of a $500 payment
with many dealers. This leverages your ability for huge gains in the FOREX marketplace. The
tactic is called marginal trading, and although it can be risky, once you know how to play the
game it is the ideal way to “take the house’s money”. The appeal of marginal trading is that
investments can be made with relatively small startup capital. You don’t need a big money
supply to be a big winner in the FOREX global trading business. This also allows for bigger
investments to be made with fewer money transfer costs.

Marginal trading is broken up into “lots”. A “lot” is an amount close to $100,000 that can be
financed with as little money as .5% down. This means for $500 you can leverage a $100,000
investment. – WOW! That is buying power. Unlike traditional investment methods like flipping
real estate, it doesn’t take time to build up your wealth. You can leverage your money to
grow as quickly as you feel comfortable growing.

3. What are some investment strategies for FOREX global trading?

The investment strategies for FOREX trading don’t differ too much from tradition stock market
trading. Strategies are categorized into two divisions – Fundamental Analysis and Technical
Analysis.

Funamental Analysis will look at a particular regions currency and take into consideration
such things as their countries economy, their bank’s current interest rate, inflation rates,
unemployment levels and a host of other factors. It is important to keep in mind that any
anticipations based on fundamental analysis, should be considered against the perceptions of
other investors in the FOREX marketplace. Afterall, it is more than likely that the current
currency price reflects all perceived knowledge of a country’s economical situation.

Technical Analysis is based on graph reading and interpreting signals from financial statistics. The link I give at the bottom of this article gives great insight into this strategy of investing in the FOREX global market. I personally am a big believer in Technical Analysis over Fundamental Analysis. Numbers are open to only so much interpretation and perception. Technical Analysis is a much more black and white way for many investors to choose their winners in the FOREX global market. This is solely my opinion. You can read on through my link below for a far more granular, in depth look at numerous strategies that work and the most efficient ways to employ them.

Again, Congratulations on embarking on one of the most financially rewarding paths you may
have ever found. There is a fortune to gain in the FOREX global market. The most prudent
advice I can give you is to keep learning until you can’t learn any more. It’s a smarter,
more efficient way to build youself up to financial freedom while trading in the FOREX global
market. Don’t go into the marketplace blind. Gain the insight that will reward you tenfold by
continuing your FOREX global trading education. I wish you all the success in the world.

By: Jay Frankel

Photo

admin

December 18th

Finance

How to Use Fibonacci in Forex



Trading forex Fibonacci strategy can be a very profitable method of trading if you know your stuff well. Basically the Fibonacci strategy makes use of the various fib levels as support and resistance whereby you can enter your trade and exit your trade.

There are several levels in the fib sequence and the more significant ones are the 0.382, 0.5 and the 0.618. The Fibonacci is made up of retracement and extension as currency pair movement is usually in the form of waves. It is very common for the currency to move to certain point and then retrace back to the Fibonacci 0.382, 0.5 or the 0.618.

Here is how you can trade currency with the Fibonacci strategy

If the price retraces back to the 0.382 and then move up, it will most probably extend its movement to the 1.272 level and this can be your target profit.

If the price retraces back to the 0.5 and then move up, there is a high chance that it will later extend to the 1.382 and then to the 1.618 level.

If the price retraces back to the 0.618 and then move up subsequently, it will be more likely to move straight to the 1.618 level.

Based on this information, you can then use these levels as a target profit. However it is not advisable to trade based on the Fibonacci alone, the Fibonacci strategy usually includes indicators like stochastic and MACD to help you plan your entry and exit more precisely.

By: Kelvin Dee

Photo

admin

December 17th

Finance

Forex Cross Rates Help With Foreign Currency Trading



Forex Cross Rates is a term used in trading foreign currency. The word Forex is simply an accepted way of distinguishing a foreign exchange versus a U.S. market. Foreign exchanges trade currency, stocks, bonds and options. Foreign exchanges trade similar to the exchanges in the U.S., however you must be aware that quotes are given in the foreign currency of that country, and one unit of their currency may be of less or more value than the U.S. dollar. Foreign exchange rules differ from U.S exchange rules. You should be familiar with the rules of the exchange or deal with a broker who has experience with that particular foreign exchange. Free FOREX trading videos daily.

In the past, a trader who wished to exchange his money into a currency from a different country would have to first convert it into U.S. dollars and then convert it to the type of currency he wanted. This is now bypassed by using a cross currency trade. A cross currency trade can take place between any two currencies, which do not involve the U.S. dollar. A EUR/JPY trade would mean paying Euros for yen; it would also be classified a cross trade.

The Rate is the quote on the currency being traded. In other words, in the example above, the rate might be 1.00/0.009; one yen is worth.009 of a euro. Since neither of these currencies is a U. S. dollar, this is an example of a cross rate when quoted in a U.S. newspaper. If either of the currencies involved were the U.S. dollar, it would not be a cross rate quote.

Forex cross rates are used by experience traders to judge values of the currencies in each country and to make a decision on whether, or not, to make that trade. Foreign trading can be difficult due to the exchange rates of monies between the countries. Values of currency can change rapidly. Currency trading does not take place on a regulated exchange but rather is done on credit agreements between traders and trading takes place around the clock, every day of the week. Experience and knowledge regarding these markets is needed to be a successful trader.

By: James C. Feldon

Photo

admin

December 16th

Foreign Exchange

Advantage Trading Forex



The forex market has several advantages, which make it an
ideal trading market for many people who do or do not have
any knowledge of other markets. It takes only a short
tutorial to have you playing like a pro. In addition, the
forex market is fast. The prices can go up and down several
times a day, and there is no end to the combinations that
you can get. In addition, in time, with the proper
training, you can become a professional Forex trader and
even help other people come into the exciting world of
Forex. What is best of all is that the Forex trading market
is today the biggest market in the world, and there is no
end to the number of trades and transactions that you can
make. Advantage of the Online Forex Spot Transactions

The Forex spot market has a huge advantage because after
you see a price of a certain currency on your computer
screen, you can immediately buy or sell that currency and
get the current price for your trade. This gives you a spot
on connection to the online Forex market, and you are sure
that you are not missing anything, because it’s real time.

The fact that the online Forex spot market is concurrent,
allows for the many trades to take place each day, and
eventually is one of the reasons why the online Forex
market is a very quick option to make money. Unlike the
regular stock market, the Forex market is much more
dynamic, so you don’t have to sit and wait for changes in
your stock. You can view your currency on the spot, and if
you don’t like it from one minute to the next, you can go
and sell it immediately and not suffer any unnecessary
losses.

Accordingly, once you have noticed that the currency you
invested in has risen enough, and is saturated, you can
decide to sell it and reap the profits. The Forex spot
market is seen in it’s real time glory through the charts
offered by technical analysis, so you can view the dynamics
by yourself.

Trend lines

The basic trend line is one of the simplest of the
technical tools employed by the chartist, but by any
standard the most powerful and valuable tool in trading.
The trend line is constructed when there are three higher
or lower points to be connected. This forms a channel which
the price action can be monitored. As discussed, one of the
obvious presumptions derived from chart studies is that
prices have a prevailing tendency to move in a particular
direction. This trend frequently assumes a definition
pattern which evolves along a straight line. This ability
of prices to adhere extremely close to an imaginary
straight line is one of the most extraordinary
characteristics of chart movements.

Drawing a Trend line

The correct drawing of trend lines is an art like every
other aspect of charting and some experimenting with
different lines is usually necessary to find the right one.
Sometimes a trend line which appears to be correct may have
to be redrawn. With practice, the art of drawing trend
lines becomes easier, but initially there are some useful
guidelines in the search for the correct one. There must be
evidence of a trend. This means that, for an up trend line
to be drawn there must be at least two reaction lows with
the second low higher than the first. Once two ascending
lows have been identified, a straight line is drawn
connecting the lows and projected up and to the right. Once
the third point has been confirmed and the trend proceeds
in its original direction, the trend line becomes very
useful in a variety of ways. One of the basic concepts of
technical analysis is that a trend in motion will tend to
stay in motion. Therefore, once a trend assumes a
particular slope or a rate of speed, as identified by the
trend line, then it usually maintains the same slope. The
trend line then helps not only to determine the extremities
of the corrective phases but also importantly, when that
trend is changing. Very often the breaking of the trend
line is one of the best early warnings of a change in
trend.

The Significance of the Trend line

It is very important to discuss how to determine the
significance of a trend line. In every market and on every
chart you see there are many trends in motions, short term,
mid term, long terms, hourly and so on. However, not all
these trends will be significantly strong. If they are not,
a trader runs the risk of entering or exiting the market at
the wrong time. The more significant a trend line, the more
confidence it inspires and the more important its
penetration. There are two factors that determine the
significance of a trend line. Firstly, the length of time
it has been intact, and secondly how many times it has been
tested. A trend line that the market has tested 8 times for
example, but keeps pushing the price away, is obviously a
more significant trend line than one that has only been
tested twice. As a rough estimate after the third bounce
off the trend line will be when the market will start to
offer trading signals. Similarly, a trend line that has
been intact for the last 9 months is of more importance
than one that has been intact for 9 weeks. There is no
standard as to what duration one needs to wait before
relying on the trend, as some trends will only stay in
motion for short periods of time. To catch these, you have
to use the time in conjunction with the testing of the
line.

Support and Resistance

Support and resistance levels are ones of the most basic
but essential components of technical analysis. Support and
resistance are price areas where an abundance of trading
has taken place and where considerable buying or selling
pressure exists. Underlying support (buying pressure) keeps
a market in an uptrend, and overhead resistance (selling
pressure) keeps a market trending lower. Once a trader can
accurately determine where these levels are, they can be
used very effectively to manage risk, and identify profit
opportunities. By entering trades at price levels at which
a significant move is likely, the probability or reward
over risk is improved. There are support and resistance
levels that are applicable to every traders time frame.
Observing how the market reacts when encountering these
levels is a very good barometer to measure the strength of
the underlying trend. They are also key points for breakout
moves. Large quantities of stop loss orders will usually
accumulate at key support and resistance areas and will
often contribute to a dramatic surge in the market in the
direction of the breakout once these areas have been
penetrated.

Support Levels

A support level is a price area at which there should be an
increase in the demand for that product. A support area is
not difficult to find in a chart. When the market is in an
uptrend, any previously established congestion area is the
uptrend is usually an area of support. To draw a support
line you need to find at least 2 points on the chart that
adhere to this criteria. This then forms a line that can be
extended across the chart.

When a support area is penetrated on the downside, it then
may become the nearest resistance area to a subsequent
advance.

Resistance Levels

A resistance level is a price area characterised by
increased selling pressure or increased supply of a
particular investment product which tends to level off
advances. If the market is in an uptrend, any point at
which new highs are reached or any congestion on the upside
will act as resistance. To draw a resistance line you need
to find at least 2 points on the chart which adhere to this
criterion. This then forms a line which can be extended
across the chart.

When a resistance area is penetrated on the upside, it may
become then the nearest support area to any subsequent
decline.

By: Chowrich Yuen

Photo

admin

December 15th

Finance
line
May 2012
M T W T F S S
« Jan    
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031